The well-known expert in the field of business risks and the author of Economic bestseller "How to predict the collapse of financial markets," Didier Sornett from ETH Zurich (Technische Hochschule Zurich) announced that assess the commercial value of any existing online social network is much easier than to determine the market price of a traditional company, producing real goods or offering services in various offline.
Based on the direct relationship of income for the owner social network of its members, the Swiss specialist for example, identified the current profitability networks Facebook (30%) and its annual revenue per user account (3.5 dollars). According to our calculations, the unrestricted continuation of exponential growth in the number of users sooner or later led to cost brainchild Mark Zuckerberg on 33 billion dollars.
To overcome this capacity maximum in case of realization of such a scenario, the number of registered people in the most popular social network of the world would have to exceed the population of the globe. Meanwhile, more realistic mathematical models that are used, for example, biologists to calculate the population growth of rabbits has other marginal figures - from 15 to 20 billion dollars. This is much less than the 65-100 billion, that estimate now Facebook financial analysts.
Due to the fact that it is not clear based on what assessed value of all other major social networks (eg, losing in terms of financial performance of the project Twitter) is also rapidly soars to the heavens, Didier Sornett warned of occurrence in the stock market a new financial bubble. Perhaps, the scale of it is not as dangerous as ever memorable "dotcom bubble", but his blast can hurt pretty bad time going through the U.S. economy.
Based on the direct relationship of income for the owner social network of its members, the Swiss specialist for example, identified the current profitability networks Facebook (30%) and its annual revenue per user account (3.5 dollars). According to our calculations, the unrestricted continuation of exponential growth in the number of users sooner or later led to cost brainchild Mark Zuckerberg on 33 billion dollars.
To overcome this capacity maximum in case of realization of such a scenario, the number of registered people in the most popular social network of the world would have to exceed the population of the globe. Meanwhile, more realistic mathematical models that are used, for example, biologists to calculate the population growth of rabbits has other marginal figures - from 15 to 20 billion dollars. This is much less than the 65-100 billion, that estimate now Facebook financial analysts.
Due to the fact that it is not clear based on what assessed value of all other major social networks (eg, losing in terms of financial performance of the project Twitter) is also rapidly soars to the heavens, Didier Sornett warned of occurrence in the stock market a new financial bubble. Perhaps, the scale of it is not as dangerous as ever memorable "dotcom bubble", but his blast can hurt pretty bad time going through the U.S. economy.